Strategy E bet. Noguchi excellent 2026 hard court form: 17-6, two Challenger titles (Nonthaburi 1, Yokkaichi). Recent dip — lost to Bolt 7-6 7-6 and Galarneau 6-4 6-2 back-to-back. H2H 1-1 with Hsu, very close rankings (~215 vs ~213). Partially matched £1.85/£5 @ 2.30, rest sitting unmatched.