£107.61
+£7.61 15W / 9L 63% 3 open
Picks
3Ostrava Challenger 2026
£5.00 @ 2.02
Model: 59% 9.9% edge 2026-04-27
Strategy E bet. Fatic 5-4 clay in 2026, 31yo clay grinder in form. Quality wins over Tseng (6-3 6-4) and Martin Tiffon. Pinnington Jones #136 but last match 28d ago — rust factor. Fatic's recent Ostrava/Rome results show current clay form.
Ostrava Challenger 2026
£5.00 @ 2.38
Model: 55% 13.2% edge 2026-04-27
Strategy E bet. Pavlovic 6-4 clay in 2026 — SF Morelia CH, F Mexico City CH 125. Serbian clay specialist, 26yo, upward trajectory. Sachko #180 not a pushover but Pavlovic has been making deep runs on clay all season. Genuine form, not stale Elo.
Jiujiang Challenger 2026
£5.00 @ 2.30
Model: 56% 12.7% edge 2026-04-26
Strategy E bet. Noguchi excellent 2026 hard court form: 17-6, two Challenger titles (Nonthaburi 1, Yokkaichi). Recent dip — lost to Bolt 7-6 7-6 and Galarneau 6-4 6-2 back-to-back. H2H 1-1 with Hsu, very close rankings (~215 vs ~213). Partially matched £1.85/£5 @ 2.30, rest sitting unmatched.
Skipped
2Clay Cagliari Challenger 2026
Dzumhur 51% 9.0% edge
SKIPPED. Dzumhur 6-13 overall in 2026 (4-6 clay). Veteran in clear decline at 33, ranking #84 inflated by historical results. Edge +9.0% is stale-Elo trap.
Clay Ostrava Challenger 2026
Squire 64% 12.1% edge
SKIPPED. Squire 2-4 clay 2026, sliding from career-high 169 to 255. Best 2026 results on hard (SF Pau). Edge +12.1% doesn't reflect his cold clay form this season.
Matches
125 across 12 tournamentsAbidjan Hard C 12 matches
Jiujiang Hard C 21 matches
Mauthausen Clay C 23 matches
Ostrava Clay C 22 matches
Shymkent Clay C 22 matches
Abidjan Challenger 2026 Hard 2 matches
- Karim Bennani vs Karan Singh 19:201.54 / 2.60
- Digvijay Pratap Singh vs Paul Jubb 19:305.60 / 1.18
Aix-en-Provence Challenger 2026 Clay 1 match
- Alexander Shevchenko vs Dan Added 10:001.23 / 4.40
Cagliari Challenger 2026 Clay 7 matches
- Jong 59% 2.46 / 1.53 0.8%
- Vukic 75% 2.82 / 1.54 39.4%
- Berrettini 70% 3.10 / 1.43 0.5%
- Hurkacz 89% 4.90 / 1.22 7.5%
- Garin 72% 4.90 / 1.17 7.5%
- Dzumhur 51% 1.55 / 2.36 9.0%
- Manuel Cerundolo vs Federico Cina 08:001.51 / 2.70
Jiujiang Challenger 2026 Hard 8 matches
- Schoolkate 66% 2.92 / 1.44
- Matthew Dellavedova vs Liam Broady 03:106.80 / 1.14
- Sharipov 87% 2.68 / 1.44 17.7%
- Wong 65% 2.76 / 1.49
- Masur 83% 1.25 / 3.95 58.1%
- Walton 82% 1.26 / 4.20 2.8%
- Hussey 74% 1.38 / 3.25 1.8%
- Matsuoka 91% 1.83 / 2.04 41.6%
Mauthausen Challenger 2026 Clay 1 match
- Droguet 81% 2.66 / 1.46 12.2%
Ostrava Challenger 2026 Clay 4 matches
- Squire 64% 1.92 / 1.96 12.1%
- Pavlovic 55% £5.00 @ 2.38 2.38 / 1.58 13.2%
- Fatic 59% £5.00 @ 2.02 2.02 / 1.85 9.9%
- Gill 53% 1.56 / 2.54 14.0%
Shymkent Challenger 2026 Clay 2 matches
- Fomin 75% 1.47 / 2.88 6.9%
- Blanch 79% 1.78 / 2.04 30.3%